A new study from German researchers at organizations such as the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research has estimated global temperature increases based on the pledges of international governments to reduce emissions.
Despite calls by small island nations for a limit of 1.5 degrees Celsius global temperature rise and even the Copenhagen Accord’s establishment of 2 degrees maximum, the study’s findings point to a devastating 3 degree increase in temperature.
Potsdam Institute’s Bill Hare stated, “The current pledges and loopholes give us a virtual certainty of exceeding 1.5 degrees, with global warming very likely exceeding 2 degrees and a more than 50-percent chance of exceeding 3 degrees by 2100.”
According to environmental journalist Mark Lynas, author of the book, “Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet,” a 3-degree temperature rise scenario includes super-hurricanes destroying large cities, vast areas of Africa and Australia rendered uninhabitable due to drought, massive carbon release from vegetation and soil and the loss of the entire Amazon rainforest in uncontrollable firestorms.
According to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the Earth has already heated up by 0.8 degrees Celsius since the start of industrialization, with accompanying sea level rise and accelerated loss of ice and permafrost.
Scientists forecast that even a 1 to 2-degree warming would cause calamities such as the submersion of low-lying coastlines, heatstroke fatalities across Europe, and the extinction of at least a third of all species.
We appreciate the contributions of Dr. Hare and Potsdam Institute colleagues, Mr. Lynas and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change scientists in helping us see the reality of the life-threatening perils we face, as we pray your message awakens us to the importance of acting faster and with ever more focus to preserve lives on our planet.
Supreme Master Ching Hai has long urged world leaders toward the most necessary actions to avert planetary disasters, as in an October 2009 speech addressing government magistrates and judges in Mexico.